CITIGROUP puts 'buy' on Great Offshore

>> Monday, December 1, 2008

RESEARCH: CITIGROUP 

RATING: BUY 

CMP: RS 250 

Great Offshore has announced a combined contract for two of its assets — Malaviya Thirty Three (a heavy lift vessel) and Gal Ross Sea (an anchor handling tug) — for a total of $22 million for one year in the Khafji oilfields of Saudi Aramco. 

The assets have been contracted out at a combined day rate of $63,000. Although the exact day-rate split between the two assets is not known, they estimate the heavy lift vessel to fetch ~ $55,000. This contract is a key positive, indicating strength in the offshore services segment, as opposed to the downtrend witnessed in segments such as dry bulk. 

Citigroup retains a ‘buy’ rating on the stock, given a relatively stable business profile (75% of revenues from ONGC) and good earnings visibility (average contract durations ~2-2 .5 years), making it less exposed to a cyclical downturn in the offshore cycle. 

Though spot rates have declined 10- 15%, the company has only five of its 41 vessels operating on spot. Q3 should see sequential growth in revenues and profits on account of commencement of new contracts, as well as higher dry-docking expenses in Q2. - ET

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