Showing posts with label Commodity. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Commodity. Show all posts

Gold rallies further, silver recovers

>> Friday, May 22, 2009

Gold prices flared up for the third consecutive day on the bullion market here today on persistent buying by stockists on the back of higher global cues.

Silver prices also recovered sharply on renewed industrial demand.

Gold prices held near two-month high above USD 950 an ounce in Europe today, consolidating after the previous session's two per cent rise, as investors bought the metal as a hedge against the weak dollar and financial risk.

Spot gold was quoted at USD 954.10 an ounce as against USD 953.40 an ounce late in New York on Thursday after reaching a high of USD 955.95 an ounce level for the first time since late March.

In the domestic market, standard gold (99.5 purity) rose further by Rs 105 per ten grams to Rs 14,540 from the yesterday's closing of Rs 14,435.

Pure gold (99.9 purity) also hardened by Rs 110 per ten grams to Rs 14,610 from Rs 14,500 previously.

Silver ready (.999 fineness) shot up by Rs 280 per kilo to Rs 22,770 from Rs 22,490.

Source - Economic Time

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Multibagger Tip - Financial Technology Ltd.

>> Sunday, March 1, 2009

Scrip: - Financial Technology.
BSE Code: -
526881
CMP: - 423.60 (BSE)
Market Cap: -
1944.32 Cr
52 Week H/L : -
2190.00 - 404.00

Summary: -

Financial Technology one of the favorite scrip of investors floated by Mr. Jignesh Shah.
Financial technology has many products working in the financial trading markets. It has products like ODIN, Inet.net, iWin, FXDirect, etc. These cover all stages of trading – pre trade, trade and post trade. These products cater to Exchanges, Brokers, AMCs,, Depositories, Custodians, Banks, etc.
Financial technologies has set up two commodity exchanges Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX) and Dubai Gold and Commodity Exchange (DGCX). Over the next few years the commodities market is expected to experience exponential growth and Financial Technologies should be a huge beneficiary.
And Also has Stake in Singapore Mercantile Exchange.

Analysis: -
I am recommending this scrip as MCX IPO is awaiting to enter the markets.
Its not entering the market due to a bad economy.
Value of MCX as per Fidelity's entry price:
(50/9*100)*45.5=Rs.25200 million= Rs 2500 crores(approx.)
Share of Financial Tech=64 p.c.
Value of Investment in MCX for Financial Tech=64 p.c. of 2500=1600 crores.

The total value of India’s agri produce is equal to US $ 85 billion. Assuming a multiple of 10 times to the commodities futures market the total size should be to the order of US $ 850 billion. It stands at less then US $b 2 billion today.

Financial: -
At a PE of 2.02 the stock looks attractive and cheep.
Paid a dividend of 100% this year on a FV of 2.

Some Facts -
MCX is the biggest market in India dealing in Futures.
BOLT is a software designed by Fin Tech.

Risks -
A bad economy so Fin Tech is not winning many new orders.
MCX IPO can be delayed before it comes in to markets.

Maximum down side -
I expect a maximum down side of 340 on this scrip. (This is not a technical view)

Rating -
Short term - 5/10
Medium Term - 6/10
Long Term - 8/10

" This is a best scrip only for Long Term Investors"

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Using common sense to invest for the long term

>> Sunday, February 8, 2009

Got thinking this weekend about how should I plan my investment for the next 3-6 months. I do dabble in stocks for short term which are mostly based on news, intra-day calls from members on stockezy. But usually I am someone who likes to invest long term. This weekend over a cup of coffee made me think to visit some of the beaten down names in the commodity sector. 

Copper, Steel, may be building materials such as Cement. Let's Think Aloud together as to why this may be a good time to invest in companies like Tata Steel, ACC, Hindustan Copper, Sterlite, SesaGoa, Hindalco and other related companies. 

Materials of any type which help build & re-build the backbone infrastructure of our country such as roads, bridges, railway lines, ports, electrical grids, power stations all our going to be in demand. Now some may disagree but I have a reason for this. 

Now coming back to why I like commodities. One assumption I am making (which is also my risk quotient) is that I trust the government of India to execute moderately well in spending money allocated for the Stimulus Plan. We need for our government to invest in the country. 

  • Move tenders to build roads, railways and ports, power stations
  • This helps Engineering company's to get government orders
  • To build you need construction materials
  • To build you need heavy engineering equipments
  • To build you need to employ labor, hence create employment
The government can use its cash reserves to fuel demand and growth and put the country back on its feet. At least to walk if not run. We may have rate cuts, we may have bailouts, we may have tax cuts - but to invest in building the country's infrastructure is the best way to stimulate the economy. I think this may be a win-win situation. 

A win for the consumer, A win for the private sector, A win for country. This may be the best time to invest for a better & bright future. 

You can read about the stocks I recommending at stockezy.com  - click here

Disclaimer - Yes this is necessary. I am no stock-pundit or analyst. I am common man who reads his newspaper, uses common sense to make investing decisions. I do see price-trends on the stock-charts available on stockezy. Try to do homework about my stocks. I am a software engineer by profession.

I am also the co-founder & CEO of stockezy.com - India's Social Investing Community. I usually blog on stockezy, but also like to share my comments here on my good friend Chirag's blog. I would love to hear from the readers of IndianMoneyPlus, you can connect with me at tushar@stockezy.com.

Cheers!

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Gold prices jump on high demand.

>> Tuesday, December 23, 2008

Gold prices jumped by Rs240 to Rs13,240 per 10 gram on the bullion market on Tuesday on emergence of buying by retailers and jewellery fabricators to meet the demand for Christmas and New year celebrations.

In a similar fashion, silver also rose by Rs30 at Rs17,650 per kg.
Standard gold and ornaments spurted by Rs240 each to Rs13,240 and Rs13,090 per 10 gram respectively.

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Inflation at 8.90 for week ended November 8.

>> Thursday, November 20, 2008

Inflation fall marginally at 8.90 compared to 8.98 last week.

Inflation slipped to single digit after 21 weeks at the beginning of this month.
Analysts said a decline in global commodity prices, robust domestic agricultural output and a fall in demand in a slowing economy helped bring the rate to single-digits well ahead of earlier expectations.
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Stock Idea - Financial Technology.

>> Saturday, November 8, 2008

Scrip: - Financial Technology.
BSE Code: -
526881
CMP: - 684.10 (BSE)
Market Cap: -
3140.02 Cr
52 Week H/L : - 2855.00 - 426.00


Summary: -
Financial Technology one of the favorite scrip of investors floated by Mr. Jignesh Shah.
Financial technology has many products working in the financial trading markets. It has products like ODIN, Inet.net, iWin, FXDirect, etc. These cover all stages of trading – pre trade, trade and post trade. These products cater to Exchanges, Brokers, AMCs,, Depositories, Custodians, Banks, etc.
Financial technologies has set up two commodity exchanges Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX) and Dubai Gold and Commodity Exchange (DGCX). Over the next few years the commodities market is expected to experience exponential growth and Financial Technologies should be a huge beneficiary.
And Also has Stake in Singapore Mercantile Exchange.

Analysis: -
I am recommending this scrip as MCX IPO is awaiting to enter the markets.
Value of MCX as per Fidelity's entry price:
(50/9*100)*45.5=Rs.25200 million= Rs 2500 crores(approx.)
Share of Financial Tech=64 p.c.
Value of Investment in MCX for Financial Tech=64 p.c. of 2500=1600 crores.

The total value of India’s agri produce is equal to US $ 85 billion. Assuming a multiple of 10 times to the commodities futures market the total size should be to the order of US $ 850 billion. It stands at less then US $b 2 billion today.

Financial: -
At a PE of 3.43 the stock looks attractive and cheep.
Paid a dividend of 200% this year on a FV of 2.

" This is a best scrip only for Long Term Investors"

Target could any where between 1100 - 12oo in a period of 12 months.
Chart source - MyIris.Com

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